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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 12/2/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-130/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic comes in at the 99th percentile, registering a monstrous 31.1 points per game at home this year.

Luka Doncic has attempted 9.7 threes per game this year, significantly higher than his 8.2 rate last year.

Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic rates in the 97th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 34.8 minutes per game while on his home court this year.

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league playing at home this year.

This year, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 7.3 3-point attempts per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Thunder, identifying this as a positive matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing on the road.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 10thworst in in the league while playing at home with just 10.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has secured 14.0 offensive boards per game (highest in the NBA) against the Thunder (continuing possessions that can lead to additional chances for offense).

Luka Doncic has attempted just 7.5 foul shots per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 10.5 mark last year.

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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