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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 12/1/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-108/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have nabbed 9.5 offensive rebounds per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies (shortening possessions that could otherwise create extra chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Memphis Grizzlies is a difficult one; they have given up the 6th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs this year (16.6).

The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should reduce possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

This matchup may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; when the Grizzlies are playing at home, opposing clubs have attempted a monstrous 23.8 foul shots per game over the last 8 games (10th-most in the league).

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