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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 11/19/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has converted a terrific 41.7% of his shots from downtown this season, quite a bit more than his 32.7 rate last season.

Relative to last year's 8.2 clip, Luka Doncic's three-point attempts have jumped this year to 9.9 per game.

Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic ranks in the 93rd percentile for playing time, posting a massive 34.5 minutes per game while on the road this year.

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league on the road this year.

The matchup against Sacramento is a good one for 3-point shots; when the Kings are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PGs have shot for the 30th-highest three rate in the NBA since the start of last season (37.9%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 10thworst in in the league while on their home court with only 9.9 offensive boards per game this year.

The matchup against Sacramento may be a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted just 2.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Sacramento Kings are the visiting squad (8th-least in the NBA).

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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