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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 11/14/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has posted 32.6 points per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 100th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this standard.

Luka Doncic has attempted 10.3 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 8.2 rate last season.

Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic measures in the 93rd percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 34.8 minutes per game while at home this year.

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the highest scoring offense in the league when playing at home this year.

The matchup vs. New Orleans is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the New Orleans Pelicans are on the road, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 28th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (8.2).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 5thworst in in the NBA without the home court advantage with a mere 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Without the home court advantage, the New Orleans Pelicans have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (16.6) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

In contrast to last season's 10.5 clip, Luka Doncic's number of free throw attempts has tailed off this season to 7.5 free throw attempts per game.

Luka Doncic will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decrease stat production in all facets of the game.

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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