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Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-114/-114).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -114.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic registers in the 99th percentile, averaging a colossal 30.3 points per game away from his home court this year.In contrast to last year's 8.2 clip, Luka Doncic's 3-point attempts have surged this year to 10.6 per game.Luka Doncic has averaged 37.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 99th percentile.In terms of offense, the Dallas Mavericks's superb 120.1 points per game as the away team places 4th-highest in the league this year.The 7th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a tough one for field goals; when the LA Clippers are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have put up the 8th-lowest field goal rate in the league since the start of last season (43.4%).The LA Clippers have played at the 9th-least up-tempo tempo in the league at home this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Mavericks.Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 4thworst in in the league while playing at home with a mere 8.8 offensive boards per game this year.This year when they are at home, their opposition has secured 14.5 offensive rebounds per game (highest in the NBA) against the Clippers (continuing possessions that can produce bonus chances for offense).Luka Doncic has attempted a lowly 8.3 free throws per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 10.5 mark last year.
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