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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 11/6/2023

Orlando Magic vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has attempted 21.9 shots from the field per game while playing on the road since the start of last season, ranking in the 100th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Luka Doncic has attempted 8.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game when playing on the road since the start of last season, placing him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the league.

Luka Doncic has been on the court for 35.9 minutes per game on his home court since the start of last season, ranking him in the 99th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.

As it relates to scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's excellent 120.4 points per game measures as the 4th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Since the start of last season when they are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have averaged 6.3 3-point attempts per game (28th-most in the NBA) against the Magic, creating a favorable matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing on the road since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Magic is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.6 foul shots per game since the start of last season (8th-least in the league).

Luka Doncic will likely experience a decrease in production across the board in light of being on the road in this matchup.

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