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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 11/1/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Chicago Bulls

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic lands in the 100th percentile, tallying a monstrous 32.7 points per game since the start of last season.

Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic rates in the 98th percentile for three-point attempts while at home, compiling 8.4 per game since the start of last season.

Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic slots into the 96th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 35.3 minutes per game at home since the start of last season.

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the league as the home team since the start of last season when it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc.

Away from their home court, the Chicago Bulls have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the league to opposing clubs since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. Chicago is a challenging one for scoring; when the Bulls are the visiting squad, opposing starting PGs have put up the 15th-lowest field goal rate in the NBA since the start of last season (40.7%).

The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the league since the start of last season.

The Mavericks are expected to see a decline in possessions in this game from competing against the 3rd-most sluggish tempo road team in the NBA this year (the Bulls).

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 1stworst in in the league with only 7.7 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

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