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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 3/8/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has attempted 21.9 field goals per game this year, ranking in the 100th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Luka Doncic has attempted 10.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Luka Doncic has been on the court for 35.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 97th percentile.

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the most aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games when it comes to three-point attempts.

The matchup against the Pelicans is a favorable one; they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PGs this year (20.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Mavericks.

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Luka Doncic will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally worsens player production for all stats.

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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