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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 3/5/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-123/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has attempted 21.9 shots per game this year, placing him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the league.

Luka Doncic has attempted 10.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the most aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc.

The matchup against the Suns is a favorable one for field goal attempts; the other team's starting PGs have averaged the 30th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.1).

Luka Doncic has attempted 11.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 3.6 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 0.9 higher than he's averaged in all games this year at home.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the most sluggish pace in the league this year.

The Suns have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to decrease plays for the Mavericks.

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

When playing away from home, the Suns have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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