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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 1/18/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Atlanta Hawks

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has posted a whopping 33.8 points per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 29.0 points per game last year.

Luka Doncic has attempted 22.8 field goals per game this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Luka Doncic has attempted 11.3 free throws per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 7.8 rate last season.

Luka Doncic has tallied 36.0 minutes per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

The Mavericks have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Hawks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Hawks have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to the other team this year (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Hawks is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the other team have attempted a measly 27.1 free throws per game without the home court advantage this year (2nd-least in the NBA).

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league this year.

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