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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 1/15/2023

Portland Trail Blazers vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has posted a terrific 33.8 points per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 29.0 points per game last season.

Luka Doncic has attempted 22.8 shots per game this year, putting him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the league.

Luka Doncic has attempted 11.3 free throws per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 7.8 mark last season.

Luka Doncic has been on the court for 37.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 100th percentile.

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year while playing on the road in terms of three-point attempts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Trail Blazers is a hard one for three-pointers; with the home court advantage, their opposition have posted the 3rd-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (37.8%).

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road this year (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA without the home court advantage this year.

The Mavericks have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Trail Blazers.

The matchup vs. the Trail Blazers is a difficult one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting PGs have averaged the 3rd-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.0).

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