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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 1/10/2023

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has averaged a terrific 34.0 points per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 29.0 points per game last season.

Luka Doncic has attempted 22.8 shots per game this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Luka Doncic has attempted 11.3 foul shots per game this year, quite a bit more than his 7.8 rate last year.

Luka Doncic has tallied 36.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 99th percentile.

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to attempts from downtown.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Clippers have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to opposing teams since the start of last season at home (which will also lead to fewer [OPPORTUNITIES_CHANCES] for scoring and assists).

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on the road this year (which also reduces additional [OPPORTUNITIES_CHANCES] for scoring and assists).

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA when playing away from home this year.

The Mavericks have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Clippers.

The matchup vs. the Clippers is a difficult one for scoring; the opposition's starting Cs have shot for the 3rd-lowest FG% in the NBA since the start of last season (52.2%).

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