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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 1/7/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has scored a terrific 34.0 points per game this season, significantly more than his 29.0 points per game last season.

Luka Doncic has attempted 22.8 shots per game this year, placing him in the 100th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Luka Doncic has attempted 11.2 foul shots per game this year, significantly higher than his 7.8 rate last year.

Luka Doncic has been on the court for 36.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 99th percentile.

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of attempts from downtown.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year.

The Mavericks have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace in the league since the start of last season, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Pelicans.

The matchup vs. the Pelicans is a challenging one for attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting PGs have tallied the 8th-least three attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season while on the road (5.2).

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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