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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 1/5/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has posted a terrific 34.3 points per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 29.0 points per game last season.

Luka Doncic has attempted 22.8 shots from the field per game this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Luka Doncic has attempted 11.2 free throws per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 7.8 rate last year.

Luka Doncic has tallied 36.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 99th percentile.

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Celtics is a challenging one for scoring; on the road, their opposition have tallied the 10th-least field goals per game in the league this year (43.0).

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. the Celtics is a hard one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.9 free throws per game this year (2nd-least in the NBA).

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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