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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 4/30/2025

Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has attempted 9.6 three-point shots per game this year, ranking in the 99th percentile among all players in the league.

Luka Doncic has been on the court for 35.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 97th percentile.

The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 6th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games with the home court advantage with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc.

The matchup vs. Minnesota is a strong one for three-pointers; when the Timberwolves are on the road, the other team's starting PGs have posted the 9th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (38.3%).

Luka Doncic will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally boosts stat production in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the league (92nd percentile).

The Lakers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.

The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should decrease plays for the Lakers.

The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

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