Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/27/2025

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Los Angeles Lakers

Made 3 Point Shots

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 27, 2025

Updated Apr 27, 2025 6:01 PM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luka Doncic has sunk 4.3 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season on the road.
Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic ranks in the 96th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 35.5 minutes per game this year.
The Lakers have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 25 games as the road team.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic rates in the 87th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.4 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.
The matchup against the Timberwolves is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; opposing starting PGs have totaled the least three attempts per game in the league over the last 15 games (4.7).
The 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Lakers.
The Lakers will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers rank 4thworst in in the league with just 9.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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