Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/22/2025

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Los Angeles Lakers

Made 3 Point Shots

Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 22, 2025

Updated Apr 23, 2025 1:58 AM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luka Doncic has converted 5.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's converted over the course of the season.
Luka Doncic has averaged 35.4 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 96th percentile.
In regard to shot attempts from downtown, the 4th-most aggressive offense in the NBA while at home over the last 15 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.
This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 38.3% on three-pointers (9th-highest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, making this a strong matchup.
Luka Doncic should see a spike in efficiency in all facets of the game on account of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Luka Doncic has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (91st percentile).
The Lakers have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games as the home team.
The Lakers will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from competing against the 2nd-slowest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 4thworst in in the league with a mere 9.7 offensive boards per game this year.

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