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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 4/22/2025

Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luka Doncic has converted 5.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's converted over the course of the season.
  • Luka Doncic has averaged 35.4 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 96th percentile.
  • In regard to shot attempts from downtown, the 4th-most aggressive offense in the NBA while at home over the last 15 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.
  • This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 38.3% on three-pointers (9th-highest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, making this a strong matchup.
  • Luka Doncic should see a spike in efficiency in all facets of the game on account of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Luka Doncic has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (91st percentile).
  • The Lakers have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games as the home team.
  • The Lakers will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from competing against the 2nd-slowest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
  • Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 4thworst in in the league with a mere 9.7 offensive boards per game this year.

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