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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 4/19/2025

Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-119/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -119.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luka Doncic has sunk 4.8 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year.
  • Luka Doncic has played 35.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 96th percentile.
  • The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 4th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 15 games with the home court advantage when it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
  • This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PGs have shot 38.3% on 3-pointers (9th-best in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, labeling this as a positive matchup.
  • Luka Doncic will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home usually increases player production in all stat categories.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Luka Doncic has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league (91st percentile).
  • The 5th-most lethargic tempo home offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Lakers.
  • The Lakers will likely suffer a drop-off in plays today from facing the 5th-least up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
  • Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Lakers rank 4thworst in in the NBA with only 9.7 offensive boards per game this year.

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