Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2025

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Los Angeles Lakers

Made 3 Point Shots

Los Angeles Lakers vs Houston Rockets · Apr 11, 2025

Updated Apr 12, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic ranks in the 99th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, logging 9.6 per game this year.
Luka Doncic has averaged 35.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 96th percentile.
In regard to shot attempts from downtown, the 4th-most aggressive team in the NBA while at home over the last 15 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.
This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 2.3 three-pointers per game (10th-highest in the league) against the Houston Rockets, identifying this as a good matchup.
Luka Doncic ought to see a rise in effectiveness for all stats as a result of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Luka Doncic has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the league (92nd percentile).
The 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Lakers.
The Lakers will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 9th-most sluggish tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Houston Rockets).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers rank 4thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.6 offensive boards per game this year.

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