Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2025

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Los Angeles Lakers

Made 3 Point Shots

Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 9, 2025

Updated Apr 10, 2025 2:05 AM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-142/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -133 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -142.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic slots into the 99th percentile for three-point attempts, totaling 9.6 per game this year.
Luka Doncic has played 35.6 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The Lakers have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home.
The Lakers have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team.
The Los Angeles Lakers will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 6th-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Mavericks).

Favors Under

Luka Doncic has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
This year when they are on the road, opposing starting PGs have averaged 4.6 three attempts per game (4th-lowest in the league) against the Mavericks, branding this as a hard matchup.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, but the Lakers grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA away from home with a mere 9.1 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
Luka Doncic will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to reduce stat production for all stats.

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