Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2025

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Los Angeles Lakers

Made 3 Point Shots

Los Angeles Lakers vs New Orleans Pelicans · Apr 4, 2025

Updated Apr 5, 2025 2:34 AM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-121).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -107 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic places in the 99th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, totaling 9.6 per game this year.
Luka Doncic has averaged 34.9 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 15 games while at home as it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
The matchup vs. the Pelicans is a strong one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the 3rd-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.1).
The Los Angeles Lakers will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from competing against the 10th-most up-tempo tempo away team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic measures in the 24th percentile for 3-point effectiveness while on his home court with a lackluster 26.9% rate this year.
Luka Doncic has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (93rd percentile).
The 9th-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.
The Lakers check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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