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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 3/19/2025

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has converted 3.9 treys per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year.

Luka Doncic has tallied 35.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 96th percentile.

The Lakers check in as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc.

The Lakers are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from being pitted against the 5th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).

Luka Doncic is expected to see a rise in productivity in all stat categories on account of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (93rd percentile).

The matchup against Denver is a tough one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Denver Nuggets are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.5).

The 7th-slowest pace home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.

The Lakers check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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