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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 2/27/2025

Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-103/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -103.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic registers in the 93rd percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 33.4 minutes per game at home since the start of last season.
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while at home this year.
  • The matchup vs. Minnesota is a favorable one for threes; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have compiled the 9th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (38.3%).
  • The 10th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.
  • The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from competing against the 10th-speediest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Luka Doncic has successfully made a measly 3.2 3-pointers per game this year, significantly less than his 3.8 rate last year.
  • Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic lands in the 94th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 2.7 fouls per game this year.
  • The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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