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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 12/25/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has attempted 9.4 shots from downtown per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Luka Doncic has averaged 34.8 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

The matchup against Minnesota is a strong one for three-point shots; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are away from home, the opposition's starting PGs have posted the 9th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (38.3%).

The 6th-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 9th-best in in the NBA at home with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has accumulated 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the league (91st percentile).

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games playing at home in terms of shot attempts from downtown.

The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.

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