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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 11/16/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+145/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -180.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has attempted 10.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 98th percentile among all players in the league.

Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic comes in at the 97th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 36.4 minutes per game at home this year.

This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 48.4% on 3-pointers (highest in the league) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, designating this as a positive matchup.

Luka Doncic will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city generally raises stat production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic measures in the 91st percentile for personal fouls, compiling a whopping 2.9 fouls per game this year.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the league this year.

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 8th-slowest pace in the league this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Mavericks.

The Mavericks rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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