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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 11/10/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has converted 4.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season.

Luka Doncic has averaged 37.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 99th percentile.

In terms of 3-point attempts, the 3rd-most aggressive team in the league while playing on the road since the start of last season has been the Dallas Mavericks.

The Mavericks are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from competing against the 2nd-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against Denver is a difficult one for three-pointers; when the Nuggets are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have posted the 2nd-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (20.5%).

The 4th-most sluggish tempo away team in the league this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Luka Doncic will likely suffer a reduction in performance in all stat categories as a result of being on the road in this contest.

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