Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2024

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Made 3 Point Shots

Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns · Nov 8, 2024

Updated Nov 8, 2024 10:59 PM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luka Doncic has attempted 9.9 three-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Luka Doncic has played 35.5 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The 6th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
Luka Doncic is expected to get a boost in effectiveness in all stat categories due to controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Luka Doncic has accumulated 3.7 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The matchup against Phoenix is a hard one for threes; when the Phoenix Suns are away from home, opposing starting PGs have tallied the least 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (1.6).
The Mavericks check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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