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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 10/29/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-200/+150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has attempted 10.4 shots from downtown per game since the start of last season, ranking him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Luka Doncic has averaged 38.2 minutes per game since the start of last season, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 100th percentile.

As it relates to three-point attempts, the 4th-most aggressive offense in the league since the start of last season has been the Dallas Mavericks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a tough one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing starting PGs have totaled the least three attempts per game in the league over the last 15 games (4.7).

The Mavericks are expected to experience a decrease in plays today from sharing the court with the 4th-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA since the start of last season (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Luka Doncic is expected to suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all stat categories considering playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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