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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 6/14/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -149.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has attempted 10.4 three-point shots per game this season, a significant increase from his 8.2 mark last season.

Luka Doncic has played 38.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 100th percentile.

The Mavericks check in as the 4th-most aggressive offense in the league this year with respect to three-point attempts.

This year, opposing starting PGs have tallied 3.0 3-pointers per game (most in the league) against the Boston Celtics, designating this as a good matchup.

Luka Doncic is expected to see an increase in efficiency in all stat categories as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has accumulated 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games when playing at home, 1.3 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the year at home.

The 2nd-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Mavericks.

The Dallas Mavericks will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from facing the least up-tempo pace road team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Celtics).

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 9thworst in in the NBA with a mere 10.0 offensive boards per game this year.

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