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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 6/12/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-189/+136).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -169 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +136.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has attempted 10.5 3-pointers per game this season, significantly more than his 8.2 rate last season.

Luka Doncic has been on the court for 38.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 100th percentile.

The Mavericks check in as the 4th-most aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc.

This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled 3.0 three-pointers per game (most in the NBA) against the Celtics, identifying this as a strong matchup.

Luka Doncic stands to get a boost in effectiveness in all stat categories due to enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has committed 3.5 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games while on his home court, 1.1 higher than he's committed overall this year at home.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games.

The Boston Celtics have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 20 games away from their home city, which should reduce plays for the Dallas Mavericks.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 9thworst in in the league with just 10.0 offensive boards per game this year.

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