Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 5/28/2024

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Made 3 Point Shots

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves · May 28, 2024

Updated May 29, 2024 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luka Doncic has made 46.6% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 10.0% higher than he's made from downtown overall this season.
In contrast to last season's 8.2 mark, Luka Doncic's 3-point attempts have surged this season to 10.5 per game.
Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic registers in the 100th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 38.3 minutes per game this year.
As it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 4th-most aggressive team in the league this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The matchup against Minnesota is a favorable one for three-pointers; when the Timberwolves are the visiting squad, opposing starting PGs have shot for the 9th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (38.3%).

Favors Under

Luka Doncic has tallied 3.3 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games while on his home court, 0.9 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year at home.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.
The Mavericks check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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