Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 5/22/2024

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Made 3 Point Shots

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks · May 22, 2024

Updated May 22, 2024 11:36 PM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+125/-164).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +132 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last season's 8.2 clip, Luka Doncic's shot attempts from downtown have risen this season to 10.5 per game.
Luka Doncic has tallied 37.8 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The Mavericks rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Over the last 15 games, opposing starting PGs have averaged 4.7 three attempts per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, designating this as a challenging matchup.
The 6th-most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
Luka Doncic should suffer a reduction in production for all stats as a result of being on the road in this game.

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