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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 5/18/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+144/-186).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -166 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +144.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In contrast to last season's 8.2 clip, Luka Doncic's shots from behind the three-point arc have jumped this season to 10.5 per game.

Luka Doncic has averaged 38.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 100th percentile.

The Mavericks rank as the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year in regard to shot attempts from downtown.

The matchup vs. the Thunder is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting PGs have tallied the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (7.7).

The Mavericks will likely see an increase in plays today from sharing the court with the 6th-quickest tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.0 higher than he's committed overall this year at home.

The 4th-least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 9thworst in in the NBA with only 10.0 offensive boards per game this year.

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