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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 3/5/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-117/-117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +108 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -117.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Relative to last year's 8.2 mark, Luka Doncic's shots from behind the three-point arc have surged this year to 10.2 per game.

Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic measures in the 100th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 37.4 minutes per game this year.

The Mavericks check in as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see an increase in possessions today from competing against the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Indiana Pacers).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has tallied 3.1 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games while playing at home, 1.0 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year at home.

The matchup against the Indiana Pacers is a hard one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposition's starting PGs have tallied the 15th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.6).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 3rdworst in in the league with only 8.5 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

When playing away from home, the Indiana Pacers have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to the other team over the last 7 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

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