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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 3/3/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Philadelphia 76ers

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +124 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has attempted 10.2 shots from downtown per game this season, a significant increase from his 8.2 rate last season.

Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic ranks in the 100th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 37.4 minutes per game this year.

The Mavericks check in as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to three-point attempts.

This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have shot 39.9% on threes (24th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers, making this a good matchup.

The 3rd-fastest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has tallied 0.3 technical fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to technicals (100th percentile).

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Mavericks.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA with just 8.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Over the last 25 games, the other team has come down with 11.2 offensive boards per game (6th-highest in the NBA) against the Philadelphia 76ers (maintaining possessions that can lead to further chances for offense).

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