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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 2/28/2024

Toronto Raptors vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-152/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +124 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic rates in the 75th percentile for three-point ability with a an outstanding 37.8% rate this year.

Compared to last season's 8.2 mark, Luka Doncic's 3-point attempts have surged this season to 10.3 per game.

Luka Doncic has been on the court for 37.2 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

In regard to three-point attempts, the 2nd-most aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Mavericks.

The 6th-speediest pace-of-play away offense in the league this year has been the Mavericks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.

Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled 4.5 3-point attempts per game (11th-fewest in the league) vs. the Toronto Raptors, labeling this as a hard matchup.

The Mavericks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Luka Doncic stands to suffer a reduction in productivity in all stat categories considering being on the road in this contest.

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