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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 2/22/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-131/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -131.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Compared to last season's 8.2 mark, Luka Doncic's shot attempts from downtown have surged this season to 10.3 per game.

Luka Doncic has averaged 37.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 100th percentile.

In regard to 3-point attempts, the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.

The most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

The Dallas Mavericks will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games (the Suns).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.2 higher than he's committed in all games this season at home.

The matchup against Phoenix is a challenging one for 3-pointers; when the Suns are away from home, opposing starting PGs have averaged the 15th-least treys per game in the NBA this year (1.6).

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Suns have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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