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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 2/5/2024

Philadelphia 76ers vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In comparison to last year's 8.2 clip, Luka Doncic's 3-point attempts have surged this year to 10.4 per game.
  • Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic rates in the 99th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 36.8 minutes per game while on the road this year.
  • The Dallas Mavericks have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc.
  • This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 37.7% on 3-pointers (22nd-best in the league) vs. the 76ers, designating this as a favorable matchup.
  • The Mavericks have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA as the road team this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Luka Doncic has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone when it comes to getting T'ed up.
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Mavericks.
  • Offensive rebounds save possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 3rdworst in in the league with a mere 7.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
  • Over the last 15 games when they are away from home, the other team has nabbed 13.3 offensive rebounds per game (highest in the NBA) against the 76ers (retaining possessions that can generate additional opportunities for offense).
  • Luka Doncic will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to worsen player performance in all stat categories.

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