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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 1/29/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Orlando Magic

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -137.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Relative to last season's 8.2 rate, Luka Doncic's shot attempts from beyond the arc have risen this season to 10.4 per game.

Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic ranks in the 100th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 37.3 minutes per game this year.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks grade out 11thbest in in the NBA when playing at home with 10.5 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

This year, their opposition has nabbed 9.6 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) against the Magic (diminishing possessions that could otherwise generate more opportunities for offense).

Luka Doncic ought to get a boost in productivity in all facets of the game as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year at home.

The matchup vs. Orlando is a challenging one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Orlando Magic are on the road, the other team's starting PGs have tallied the 13th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.9).

The 10th-most sluggish pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks.

The Magic have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Mavericks.

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