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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 1/27/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+104/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +113 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In contrast to last year's 8.2 rate, Luka Doncic's shot attempts from beyond the arc have increased this year to 10.4 per game.

Luka Doncic has played 37.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 99th percentile.

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league this year with respect to three-point attempts.

The matchup vs. Sacramento is a strong one for three-pointers; when the Sacramento Kings are away from home, the opposition's starting PGs have shot for the 25th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (42.8%).

The Kings have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to raise opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic comes in at the 100th percentile for technical fouls, logging a massive 0.2 fouls per game this year.

The Mavericks have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games as the home team.

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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