Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/1/2024

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Made 3 Point Shots

Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks · Jan 1, 2024

Updated Jan 2, 2024 1:57 AM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-160/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last year's 8.2 mark, Luka Doncic's shots from behind the three-point arc have risen this year to 10.5 per game.
Luka Doncic has tallied 37.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 99th percentile.
The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA while playing away from home this year.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic ranks in the 89th percentile for technical fouls, registering a whopping 0.1 fouls per game away from home this year.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 1.1 threes per game (15th-lowest in the league) vs. the Utah Jazz, marking this as a tough matchup.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 9thworst in in the NBA with just 9.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Over the last 10 games, their opposition has snagged 11.9 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Jazz (retaining possessions that can generate bonus chances for offense).
Luka Doncic is expected to see a decline in performance in all facets of the game in light of playing away from home in this contest.

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