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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 12/25/2023

Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-175/+128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -136 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -175.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Compared to last season's 8.2 rate, Luka Doncic's 3-point attempts have risen this season to 10.2 per game.

Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic comes in at the 97th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 35.9 minutes per game away from his home court this year.

Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 8.4 three attempts per game (29th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Phoenix Suns, designating this as a favorable matchup.

The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games away from home.

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has committed 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.1 more than he's committed overall this year.

The Suns have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Mavericks.

This year, opposing clubs have collected 11.6 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the Suns (maintaining possessions that can generate extra chances for offense).

Luka Doncic ought to suffer a reduction in efficiency across the board due to being on the road in this matchup.

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