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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 12/8/2023

Portland Trail Blazers vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has successfully made 39.0% of his shots from downtown this year, putting him in the 75th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

In contrast to last season's 8.2 clip, Luka Doncic's shots from behind the three-point arc have jumped this season to 10.0 per game.

Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic slots into the 92nd percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 34.3 minutes per game while playing away from home this year.

In terms of 3-point attempts, the most aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.

Since the start of last season when they are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have averaged 36.2% on threes (23rd-highest in the league) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, identifying this as a good matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 0.8 more than he's committed in all games this year on the road.

The Dallas Mavericks will likely see a decline in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 3rd-least up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Portland Trail Blazers).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 8thworst in in the NBA with just 9.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

The Portland Trail Blazers have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Luka Doncic will likely suffer a drop-off in productivity for all stats considering playing on the visting team in this contest.

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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