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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 12/2/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has attempted 9.7 threes per game this year, significantly higher than his 8.2 rate last year.

Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic rates in the 97th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 34.8 minutes per game while on his home court this year.

The Dallas Mavericks have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA at home this year as it relates to three-point shots.

This year, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 7.3 3-point attempts per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Thunder, identifying this as a positive matchup.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games at home, which should lead to more opportunities for the Mavericks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In contrast to last year's 0.3 clip, Luka Doncic's technical fouls have surged this year to 0.3 per game.

The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing on the road.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 10thworst in in the league while playing at home with just 10.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has secured 14.0 offensive boards per game (highest in the NBA) against the Thunder (continuing possessions that can lead to additional chances for offense).

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