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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 11/18/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has converted 41.4% of his shots from downtown this year, placing him in the 80th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Luka Doncic has attempted 9.9 shots from downtown per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 8.2 rate last year.

Luka Doncic has tallied 33.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 86th percentile.

Luka Doncic has been called for a mere 1.8 personal fouls per game this season, quite a bit less than his 2.5 fouls per game last season.

The Dallas Mavericks have been the highest scoring offense in the league away from their home court this year in terms of 3-pointers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 30.0% on threes (7th-worst in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, labeling this as a challenging matchup.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 9thworst in in the league playing at home with only 9.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing squads have grabbed 12.8 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks (saving possessions that can produce extra chances for offense).

Luka Doncic ought to suffer a reduction in output in all stat categories due to playing away from hom in this game.

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