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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 11/1/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Chicago Bulls

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic rates in the 98th percentile for three-point attempts while at home, compiling 8.4 per game since the start of last season.
  • Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic slots into the 96th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 35.3 minutes per game at home since the start of last season.
  • The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the league as the home team since the start of last season when it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
  • Away from their home court, the Chicago Bulls have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the league to opposing clubs since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Luka Doncic will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to increases stat production in all stat categories.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Luka Doncic has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game while playing at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 83rd percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
  • Since the start of last season, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 2.0 three-pointers per game (7th-lowest in the league) against the Chicago Bulls, identifying this as a difficult matchup.
  • The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the league since the start of last season.
  • The Mavericks are expected to see a decline in possessions in this game from competing against the 3rd-most sluggish tempo road team in the NBA this year (the Bulls).
  • Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 1stworst in in the league with only 7.7 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

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