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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 4/2/2023

Atlanta Hawks vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has attempted 9.8 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.7 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

Luka Doncic has averaged 36.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 99th percentile.

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of attempts from downtown.

The matchup vs. Atlanta is a good one for 3-point attempts; opposing starting PGs have tallied the 26th-most three attempts per game in the league over the last 5 games when the Hawks are at home (7.2).

The Hawks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should increase plays for the Mavericks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 99th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled when it comes to technicals.

The matchup against Trae Young is a tough one for three-point shots; when Young is playing at home and facing opposing starting PGs this year, they have sunk a measly 29.9% of their attempts from downtown (10th percentile).

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the slowest pace in the league away from their home court this year.

The Dallas Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Luka Doncic will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally decreases player performance in all stat categories.

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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