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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 3/22/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-180/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -180.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has attempted 10.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 2.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.

Luka Doncic has played 35.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 98th percentile.

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home in terms of 3-point attempts.

The matchup against Golden State is a positive one for 3-pointers; when the Warriors are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PGs have shot for the 30th-highest three percentage in the league this year (44.9%).

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (84th percentile).

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

The Warriors have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (14.0) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

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