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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 2/15/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+124/-161).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +124.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has played 36.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 99th percentile.

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league when playing on the road this year when it comes to attempts from downtown.

The matchup vs. Bruce Brown is a favorable one for 3-pointers; when facing opposing starting PGs this year, they have tallied a massive 2.2 threes per game (100th percentile).

The Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Mavericks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has attempted a measly 7.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, quite a bit less than his 9.0 rate last season.

Luka Doncic has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA while playing away from home this year.

The Dallas Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Luka Doncic will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases player production in all stat categories.

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