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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 2/13/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-136/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +112 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has tallied 35.7 minutes per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to three-point attempts.

The matchup vs. D'Angelo Russell is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; when facing fellow starting PGs this year, they have attempted a massive 6.3 3-point shots per game (97th percentile).

The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which ought to boost opportunities for the Mavericks.

Luka Doncic will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to improves player performance in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has attempted a mere 7.9 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 9.0 rate last season.

Luka Doncic has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the league (87th percentile).

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court.

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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